I will value dubloons at the bulk 250 Dubs = $1 amount. I also have 15k dubloons left from the 30k+ I got opening last year's boxes. There are 23 of them but I can prune off a few below the $23 E.V. This is a list of the possible lootbox ships I do not own at present. I suspect other veteran or collectors are starting from a similar position so adjust the numbers as you will. I spent around $1200 USD last winter as a new WOWS player to clear out the prize pool and grab all of the exclusive chase-ships so my collection is starting off mostly complete.

This analysis looks at an expected cost of obtaining EVERY premium based on my starting roster. That's risky gambling and I won't be doing that.

Obviously if you only buy 20x boxes you could get unlucky and get nothing. It is well known that lower tier ships are far more likely to drop so this math only works if you already own most of them. The starting points, assumptions, objectivesĪs a guiding principle you can expect to spend $20-25 per ship from lootboxes.

I'll walk through my logic and I hope it helps players in similar positions come to a responsible decision. While I do not normally buy lootboxes in games, the Santa crates offer a fairly predictable reward set IF you are starting with most of the ships already and are willing to spend a significant amount of money. So this is the personal analysis and predictions I made for this year's Santa Crates.

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